If you have a pretty good predictive model, and you have the resources to establish with relative certainty what direction a complex system will move next, then it certainly pays to divert one's energy in the direction that makes the most sense. The more localized and simplified a system in question, the easier as well.
And swift directional movement tends to further restrict possibility and avenues of action. If you're perched up on a ladder that is beginning to fall, the array of options you have available to you becomes ever more sharply constrained the more the ladder proceeds down the arc of its fall.
The more complexity, and the greater breadth and depth of the system you are attempting to anticipate, the more it pays to cultivate a greater variety of practices in response to its movements, so that you have the resources available to further lean into whatever avenue makes the most sense as things become more kinetic, and the actual avenues of action constrict in unpredictable ways.
Because what is the cost of moving in the wrong direction at the wrong time? One's resources are sunk into a limited avenue that quickly loses its viability, and then you are left with a deficit in one direction, just as a surplus is needed in another.
If you have failed to understand the nature of a falling tree, and you've already begun moving and your attention is focused elsewhere, and there is a shadow growing over you, the falling tree picks up steam, the window of action is rapidly narrowing, and the trap is closing shut.
Collectively, it certainly does help to act in a manner that regularly refrains from setting large masses in motion, but it seems that today, that ship has sailed.
